Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.140674 0.166503 0.195373 0.229979 0.270282 0.315683 0.370649
2024-12-22 0.097570 0.129848 0.169964 0.223261 0.291969 0.377290 0.490980
2024-12-29 0.076718 0.111982 0.159602 0.228112 0.323561 0.451148 0.633795
2025-01-05 0.061110 0.096480 0.147709 0.226483 0.343526 0.509720 0.761942
2025-01-12 0.049081 0.083092 0.135504 0.220950 0.355220 0.556102 0.876641
2025-01-19 0.039856 0.071927 0.124218 0.214099 0.362627 0.595435 0.983808
2025-01-26 0.034815 0.066527 0.120898 0.218833 0.387992 0.664156 1.143020
2025-02-02 0.030452 0.061407 0.117041 0.221719 0.410088 0.729373 1.303001
2025-02-09 0.026567 0.056398 0.112464 0.222396 0.427994 0.788932 1.459184
2025-02-16 0.023643 0.052678 0.109590 0.225562 0.450363 0.858027 1.638447
2025-02-23 0.021760 0.050713 0.109710 0.234272 0.483779 0.949850 1.867127
2025-03-02 0.018572 0.045378 0.102273 0.226924 0.485272 0.982875 1.990567
2025-03-09 0.016535 0.042289 0.099133 0.228164 0.504416 1.052199 2.191856
2025-03-16 0.014419 0.038621 0.094193 0.224903 0.513988 1.104055 2.365007
2025-03-23 0.013221 0.036941 0.093402 0.230563 0.542949 1.197413 2.630008
2025-03-30 0.011720 0.034200 0.089715 0.229089 0.556108 1.259514 2.836999
2025-04-06 0.010194 0.031083 0.084619 0.223533 0.559317 1.300774 3.004077
2025-04-13 0.008814 0.028077 0.079297 0.216615 0.558410 1.332821 3.154189
2025-04-20 0.008151 0.026984 0.078710 0.221403 0.585770 1.429995 3.456478
2025-04-27 0.007475 0.025721 0.077469 0.224321 0.608889 1.519756 3.750434
2025-05-04 0.006787 0.024273 0.075492 0.225005 0.626488 1.598395 4.026164
2025-05-11 0.006260 0.023232 0.074495 0.228207 0.650881 1.695384 4.353601
2025-05-18 0.005960 0.022883 0.075457 0.237012 0.690963 1.833937 4.792322